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Building blocks to guide your long-term investment decisions

The right wealth management decisions for your portfolio depend on your current financial situation, long-term goals and market performance.

“Long-term investing is about navigating possibilities, not certainties. The key is having a well-informed plan that also considers individual goals and risk tolerance.”

Anil Suri, Head of Asset Allocation and Portfolio Construction Analytics, Chief Investment Office, Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank

It’s impossible to know the future, but the right financial tools can help provide an idea of how major investments like stocks, bonds and cash might perform over the next 25 years. With this information in hand, it is possible to consider a broad range of potential outcomes and tailor an investment approach to match.

The CIO Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs) provide this type of long-term forecast so investors and financial professionals can estimate expected returns and risks. This forecast forms the basis of our Strategic Asset Allocations (SAAs), which offer guidance on investments across asset classes to help support a variety of financial goals while also considering time horizon and risk.

These powerful tools provide insight into the actions it might take to meet your short- and long-term goals. They can also inform investment strategies that can help you ensure that you stay on track to meet those goals as economic and market conditions change.

Hard questions that CMAs and SAAs can help answer

What is the potential growth in my wealth?

See your potential growth under various market conditions and at different levels of risk. This provides guidance on how much you may need to save to reach your long-term financial goals.

Will I be able to achieve all of my goals?

Understanding where you are along the path toward funding your long-term goals is important in potentially achieving them. Consider questions like, “Do you need to make up a shortfall in funding, or are your current resources adequate in light of your plans?” and adjust accordingly.

How should I allocate my assets to achieve my goals?

Do you have the right mix of stocks, bonds and cash to achieve your financial goals? Should you consider adjusting your portfolio?

How much should I save for retirement?

Are you saving appropriately for the retirement you have planned? Do you have sufficient savings to consider retiring in the near future, or will you need to adjust your retirement expectations to match the level of expenses that your savings can support?

What can I safely spend in retirement?

Determining personalized sustainable retiree spending rates is critically dependent on CMA forecasts, client’s age and risk tolerance.

The power of a strong foundation

“We believe there is no one-size-fits-all for spending guidance for retirees — it depends heavily on your age and risk tolerance.”

Nevenka Vrdoljak, Senior Quantitative Analyst, Chief Investment Office, Merrill and Bank of America Private Bank

Determining which approach is right for you and your family will ultimately be a personal and subjective choice guided by your specific circumstances, priorities and financial situation. A decision of this magnitude can significantly alter your overall financial picture, so it's essential that you consult not only with builders, architects and real estate professionals but also with your advisor and your tax professional who can provide additional insights tailored to your specific needs and circumstances.

For more information on CMAs and SAAs, read the Chief Investment Office’s report, “Foundations of Guidance: Capital Market Assumptions and Strategic Asset Allocations.

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